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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Roger Williams University2.51+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72-0.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-0.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38-3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-2.34vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.35-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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2.65University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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3.83Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.0Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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5.77University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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4.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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6.18Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 19.8% | 21.7% | 24.6% | 18.8% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Cushing | 21.8% | 28.4% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 9.1% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 28.7% | 21.9% | 9.5% | 2.7% |
| James Beatty | 42.4% | 29.2% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 15.4% | 38.2% | 32.2% |
| Joseph Dragon | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 32.1% | 22.6% | 7.9% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 24.2% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.