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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+2.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38-1.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.19+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72-3.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-4.08vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.35-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.0Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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2.71University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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2.92Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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6.15Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Secondo | 9.2% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 26.2% | 20.8% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| James Beatty | 42.4% | 30.3% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 31.7% | 22.0% | 8.6% |
| George Williams | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 15.6% | 38.2% | 32.8% |
| Samuel Cushing | 21.6% | 26.0% | 24.8% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Booth | 18.9% | 22.1% | 24.5% | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 24.0% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.