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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38-0.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51-0.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.19+0.80vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.35-0.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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1.93Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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2.97Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.84Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.25Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 23.5% | 25.0% | 24.5% | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| James Beatty | 44.6% | 29.9% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 16.6% | 20.9% | 28.1% | 21.2% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 26.6% | 24.6% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| George Williams | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 37.8% | 34.2% |
| Dylan Nelson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 25.0% | 57.6% |
| Joseph Dragon | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 32.7% | 21.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.