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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+0.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+0.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-2.28vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82-2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.25vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.35-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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2.91Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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3.86Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.17Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 44.5% | 28.1% | 18.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 16.7% | 26.3% | 23.1% | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.4% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 32.2% | 22.2% | 8.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 21.8% | 25.3% | 24.8% | 17.2% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 8.3% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 27.3% | 21.2% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| George Williams | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 39.0% | 31.6% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 10.6% | 23.1% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.