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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+0.67vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+1.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-0.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-2.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38-4.03vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.23vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.35-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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4.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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3.79Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.99Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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1.97Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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5.77University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.18Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 23.5% | 26.4% | 23.4% | 15.8% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Dragon | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 31.2% | 21.8% | 7.9% |
| Reid Secondo | 8.5% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 25.6% | 22.7% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
| Scott Booth | 17.1% | 22.1% | 24.6% | 21.2% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| James Beatty | 43.9% | 28.8% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 16.1% | 37.2% | 32.8% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 25.1% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.