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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.15+1.80vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55+1.38vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.260.00vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.23-1.02vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13-0.36vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-1.74-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-0.67-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2724.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Texas-0.1516.2%1st Place
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4.38Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.5511.4%1st Place
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4.0Texas A&M University-0.2614.8%1st Place
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3.98Rice University-0.2314.0%1st Place
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5.64Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.136.1%1st Place
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6.45Texas A&M University-1.743.9%1st Place
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4.65University of Texas-0.679.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Polsen | 24.2% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Macie Bettis | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Zachary Aronson | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 4.2% |
| Arthur Unger | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Maddy Lee | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 24.2% |
| Canaan Cortes | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 47.3% |
| Kate Lyon | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.