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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.51+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72-0.35vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+0.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.82-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.38-4.98vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.35-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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2.65University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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3.83Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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2.02Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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6.18Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 19.4% | 22.4% | 24.7% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Cushing | 22.8% | 26.2% | 26.7% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 19.2% | 30.5% | 22.5% | 8.3% |
| Reid Secondo | 8.7% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 27.4% | 22.5% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| George Williams | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 15.7% | 38.8% | 31.9% |
| James Beatty | 41.9% | 29.5% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Nelson | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 22.5% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.