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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.47vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+7.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+6.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.51vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+6.46vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.56vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+4.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+4.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.55vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.76vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.49vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.02vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.21vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-8.20vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.63-10.00vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.16Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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9.72Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.35Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.51Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.8Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 12.3% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Liana Folger | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 16.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Lily Katz | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.