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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.83vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.18vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+5.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67+4.88vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+1.91vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+2.08vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.70vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-2.83vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.70vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-3.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.79vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.70vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.56-5.51vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.01-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.47Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.88George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.91Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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12.3Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.25Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.2% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Lily Katz | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 15.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.