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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.33vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+6.05vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+4.47vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+0.95vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75+3.59vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.32vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.86vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.09vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-0.29vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-3.68vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.68vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.16vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.61vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.36vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.33Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.05Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.85Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.71Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.32Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.84George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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12.39U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Lily Katz | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.