← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.02vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+5.92vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.63+4.09vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.56+7.23vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.85+5.05vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College3.14+2.95vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.67+3.87vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.75+2.43vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.34+3.22vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.69vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.40vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.10-6.51vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.87-3.11vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.99-4.78vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.43vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.21-7.38vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.37vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.92Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.09Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.23Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
10.05Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
8.95Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
10.87George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
10.43Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
12.22Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
6.31University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
12.4U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
5.49Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
9.89Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
9.22University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
11.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.62Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
11.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Lily Katz | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.3% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 17.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Liana Folger | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.