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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+5.42vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.58vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67+2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+0.47vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.45vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.63-3.97vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-0.33vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-0.93vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.57vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.54vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-7.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.57vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.87-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.17Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.67Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.94Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.9Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 12.8% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Lily Katz | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.