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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.22vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+7.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63+1.93vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.59vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+4.32vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.84vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87+1.02vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.83vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.72vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.00vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.84Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.02Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.38Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.0George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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12.07U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Liana Folger | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% |
| Lily Katz | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 16.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.