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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.53vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.80vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+2.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87+1.95vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.38vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-0.85vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.66vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-0.30vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-2.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.06vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-4.96vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.34vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-5.97vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.15Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.7Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.04Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.03George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.2% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Lily Katz | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.