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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+8.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+5.25vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.99vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+4.44vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.18vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.83vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+2.59vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-3.87vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-3.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.32vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-4.33vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.39vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-4.29vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.44Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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5.13Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.56Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.67Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 3.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% |
| Liana Folger | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lily Katz | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 17.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 16.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.