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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+5.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+5.07vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.05+4.71vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.40vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.00+7.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+5.58vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+7.70vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.14+3.45vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.09-3.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.53vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.99+3.43vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.33-7.57vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-0.69vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-4.89vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.72-3.72vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.92-5.23vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-9.14vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University3.31-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.27SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.58Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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14.7Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.45University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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16.43Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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14.31Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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12.77Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Towill | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ted Green | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| John Renehan | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.5% |
| David Harrison | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| John Croll | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 35.7% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 14.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Zach Runci | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.