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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.26+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.15+1.79vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+0.06vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.23-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.67-0.31vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13-0.32vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55-2.58vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.74-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Texas A&M University-0.2615.3%1st Place
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3.79University of Texas-0.1516.2%1st Place
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3.06Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2724.6%1st Place
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3.87Rice University-0.2315.3%1st Place
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4.69University of Texas-0.678.4%1st Place
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5.68Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.135.1%1st Place
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4.42Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.5512.2%1st Place
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6.55Texas A&M University-1.742.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Aronson | 15.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 3.2% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 16.2% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Ethan Polsen | 24.6% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Arthur Unger | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Kate Lyon | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 9.3% |
| Maddy Lee | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 24.4% |
| Macie Bettis | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| Canaan Cortes | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.