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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.38+9.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.10vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+7.04vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.42vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+8.44vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.70+6.96vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+1.07vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.63vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+0.73vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54-0.10vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-2.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.09-0.17vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05-1.56vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.92vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-3.43vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-9.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-9.32vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.45George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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13.44Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.96Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.07Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.73Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.9Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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11.44Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Johnstone | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 25.3% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 19.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma Ferris | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.