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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.13vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.09+7.32vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+8.48vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+2.06vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20-0.10vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.46vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38+1.24vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05+1.88vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.20vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.47vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-3.45vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-2.68vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-5.25vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.70-2.93vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-8.95vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.37-11.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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13.48Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.06Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.8Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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11.32Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.07Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Ferris | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 24.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| India Johnstone | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Charlotte List | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 18.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.