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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+11.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+6.05vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.80vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.09+7.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.25vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+2.02vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+3.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.11vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.53vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05+1.98vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50+2.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.69vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-0.23vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-4.62vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-3.42vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-6.16vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.51-7.08vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.05-10.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.02Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.89Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.98Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.69Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.77Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.58Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% |
| Amina Brown | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Ferris | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| India Johnstone | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 26.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.