← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.37+5.13vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.05+5.25vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.40vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.51+5.20vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.20+1.54vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.50+7.35vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.90+0.69vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.70+4.58vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.38+0.86vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.02vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.98+0.66vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.05-0.37vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.32vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.96-6.78vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.54-5.82vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.09-4.80vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-9.71vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.05-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.13University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.25Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
9.2Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
6.54Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
13.35Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.69Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
12.58Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
9.86George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
12.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
11.66Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
11.63Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.22University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.18Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.2U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
-
7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
11.13Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 23.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.0% |
| India Johnstone | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.