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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+9.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.37vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.35vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.01vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+4.28vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+5.28vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.98+4.51vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+5.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.83vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90-2.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.09-2.10vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.38-4.39vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-3.73vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-9.42vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-4.21vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.37-12.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.25Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.98Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.27Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.79Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Rohde | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 23.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.