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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.47vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+5.88vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+4.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+7.11vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.05+6.16vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+3.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.07vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.51+1.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.90vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+1.76vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.38-0.93vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.82vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-6.52vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.70-1.67vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-1.66vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.82vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.09-5.73vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.88Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.11Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.16Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.33Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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13.34Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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11.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| India Johnstone | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 15.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 21.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.