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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+6.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.19vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+3.65vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+4.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.14vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05+2.27vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.51-0.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.63vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.70+0.93vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05-1.89vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.55vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-8.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.09-4.86vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.98-5.33vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.65Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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12.93Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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11.11Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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11.67Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.2Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| India Johnstone | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 20.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.