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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.86vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+4.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+5.15vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+1.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51+2.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-0.10vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.80vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.05+0.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.09-0.75vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-0.72vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-3.27vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.38-5.48vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.98-4.62vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.67vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.20-11.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.37Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.15Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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12.28Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.52George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.33Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% |
| Emma Ferris | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| India Johnstone | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 24.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.