← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.13+2.29vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University2.28+1.06vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University2.24+0.16vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.38+0.29vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.49+1.31vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-3.97vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.69vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.10-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
-
3.06Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
-
3.16Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
-
4.29North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
-
6.31Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
-
2.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
-
6.31Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
-
5.86William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fields | 14.8% | 18.3% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 17.7% | 21.3% | 20.7% | 22.6% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 15.9% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 32.8% | 17.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 26.8% | 58.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 42.6% | 28.4% | 16.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 26.8% | 58.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 39.7% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.