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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.72+9.30vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.00+7.37vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50+8.20vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.05+0.61vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.99+6.75vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.33-2.51vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-2.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.46vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.31-2.75vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.48-0.58vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.14-5.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy4.09-9.67vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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11.3University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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10.37SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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12.2Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University4.050.1%1st Place
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13.75Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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5.49Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.83Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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12.42Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.89Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 15.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
| Ted Green | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mark Towill | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Croll | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 32.8% |
| Scott Furnary | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 17.9% |
| John Renehan | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| David Harrison | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.