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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13+4.64vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.67+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.15+0.82vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55+0.35vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27-1.94vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.26-1.97vs Predicted
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7Rice University-0.23-3.04vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.74-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.136.5%1st Place
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4.63University of Texas-0.6710.6%1st Place
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3.82University of Texas-0.1515.3%1st Place
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4.35Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.5511.5%1st Place
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3.06Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2724.1%1st Place
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4.03Texas A&M University-0.2613.7%1st Place
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3.96Rice University-0.2315.2%1st Place
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6.51Texas A&M University-1.743.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Lee | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 23.1% | 23.9% |
| Kate Lyon | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 8.6% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Macie Bettis | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Ethan Polsen | 24.1% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Aronson | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Arthur Unger | 15.2% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Canaan Cortes | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.