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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+2.07vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.24+1.14vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-1.02vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.13-0.63vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.38-0.67vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49+0.30vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.10-1.18vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.14Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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1.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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3.37Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.33North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.3Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.82William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.3Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 18.2% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 16.1% | 19.5% | 23.9% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 43.3% | 29.8% | 16.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 13.1% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 31.2% | 16.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 27.6% | 58.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 41.2% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 27.6% | 58.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.