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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+2.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+0.01vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.10+2.91vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.24-0.80vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.13-1.66vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49+0.27vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38-2.77vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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2.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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5.91William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.2Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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3.34Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.27Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.27Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 18.8% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 42.8% | 28.8% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 39.8% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 15.2% | 18.5% | 22.8% | 23.3% | 15.3% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 12.9% | 17.1% | 23.6% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 30.1% | 55.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 34.2% | 16.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 30.1% | 55.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.