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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.02vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.13+1.28vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28+0.09vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.24-0.84vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.49+1.30vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.38-1.70vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.10-1.15vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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3.28Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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3.09Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.16Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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6.3Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.3North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.85William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.3Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tara | 44.3% | 26.9% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 13.9% | 19.7% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 6.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 15.0% | 23.2% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 17.5% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 27.0% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 31.9% | 16.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 39.9% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 27.0% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.