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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.24+2.11vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38+2.28vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28+0.12vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.13-0.68vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.10+0.95vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-4.00vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.79vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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4.28North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.12Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.32Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.95William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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2.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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6.21Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.21Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Van Beurden | 16.9% | 21.7% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 31.9% | 16.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 15.8% | 20.6% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 13.8% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 14.9% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 41.4% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 44.2% | 27.4% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 26.6% | 56.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 26.6% | 56.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.