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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.24+2.09vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.00vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38+1.27vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.28-0.83vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.13-1.66vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49+0.31vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.10-1.18vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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2.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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4.27North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.17Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.34Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.31Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.82William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.31Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Van Beurden | 17.5% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 43.6% | 27.7% | 17.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 32.1% | 17.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 16.5% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 13.0% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 16.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 7.5% | 27.0% | 58.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 40.0% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 7.5% | 27.0% | 58.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.