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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.02vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.28+1.08vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.13+0.30vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.24-0.84vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.10+0.96vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.38-1.71vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.80vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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3.08Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.3Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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3.16Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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5.96William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.2Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.2Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tara | 43.8% | 27.7% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 15.7% | 22.8% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 4.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 13.4% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 23.1% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 17.1% | 18.4% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 40.2% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 31.6% | 16.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 28.1% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 28.1% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.