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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.13+2.26vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.24+1.10vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38+1.30vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.28-0.82vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-2.98vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49+0.32vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.68vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.10-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Old Dominion University2.130.2%1st Place
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3.1Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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4.3North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.18Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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2.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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6.32Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.32Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.82William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fields | 15.9% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 22.5% | 15.6% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 16.3% | 21.6% | 22.2% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 32.3% | 18.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 16.2% | 18.6% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 42.6% | 28.2% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 26.7% | 59.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 26.7% | 59.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 40.2% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.