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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.13+2.27vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.28+1.10vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.49+3.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-1.97vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.24-1.79vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.38-1.67vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.78vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.10-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Old Dominion University2.130.2%1st Place
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3.1Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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6.22Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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2.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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3.21Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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4.33North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.22Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.84William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fields | 16.5% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 17.1% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 16.1% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 23.0% | 14.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 27.1% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 42.7% | 28.0% | 17.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 14.6% | 19.8% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 32.9% | 17.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 27.1% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 38.7% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.