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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+2.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.01vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.24+0.16vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.13-0.67vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.49+1.29vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.38-1.67vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.71vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.10-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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1.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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3.16Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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3.33Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.29Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.33North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.29Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.84William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 18.5% | 21.0% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 43.0% | 30.6% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 15.5% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 23.4% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 14.7% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 27.3% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 31.7% | 17.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 27.3% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.