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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+2.09vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.24+1.10vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38+1.29vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.13-0.64vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-2.99vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.10-0.04vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.81vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.1Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.36Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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2.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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5.96William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 18.4% | 21.5% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 15.7% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 32.7% | 15.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 14.5% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 42.8% | 28.5% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 11.5% | 40.4% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 27.8% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 27.8% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.