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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.15+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.67+1.72vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.26-0.03vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13+0.70vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55-1.61vs Predicted
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7Rice University-0.23-3.17vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.74-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2724.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Texas-0.1516.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Texas-0.679.8%1st Place
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3.97Texas A&M University-0.2614.9%1st Place
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5.7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.136.1%1st Place
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4.39Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.5510.3%1st Place
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3.83Rice University-0.2314.8%1st Place
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6.48Texas A&M University-1.743.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Polsen | 24.2% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 16.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Kate Lyon | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 9.8% |
| Zachary Aronson | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Maddy Lee | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 24.5% | 23.6% |
| Macie Bettis | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 6.6% |
| Arthur Unger | 14.8% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Canaan Cortes | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.