← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University2.50+10.90vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.43+3.16vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University4.33+2.52vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+5.52vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.14+4.68vs Predicted
-
6Brown University4.05+0.60vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.65vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University4.01-1.45vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.71vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin2.72+1.36vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.47vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-3.28vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University1.99+0.81vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.40vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.31-5.80vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.48-3.60vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.18-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.9Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
-
5.16Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
5.52Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
9.52University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
-
9.68University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
-
6.6Brown University4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.35U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
6.55Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
11.36University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
-
13.81Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
-
10.6SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
-
9.2Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
-
12.4Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
9.8Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| David Harrison | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Mark Towill | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| John Croll | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 35.0% |
| Ted Green | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.9% |
| John Renehan | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.