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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.03vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.13+1.27vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28+0.11vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.24-0.85vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.49+1.31vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.10-0.04vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38-2.83vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.4%1st Place
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3.27Old Dominion University2.130.1%1st Place
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3.11Hampton University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.15Christopher Newport University2.240.2%1st Place
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6.31Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.96William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.31Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tara | 44.0% | 26.3% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 13.3% | 19.7% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 15.2% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 21.0% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 17.4% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 28.6% | 57.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 41.8% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 33.5% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 28.6% | 57.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.