← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.50+1.73vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University3.02+0.08vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.29vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.71-0.34vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.74+1.31vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-0.29-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.74-0.69vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University0.85-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.73Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
-
2.08Hampton University3.020.4%1st Place
-
2.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
-
3.66Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.31Virginia Tech-0.740.0%1st Place
-
5.92William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.31Virginia Tech-0.740.0%1st Place
-
4.59North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 23.3% | 23.3% | 25.0% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 38.6% | 30.5% | 18.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 21.8% | 24.0% | 25.9% | 19.2% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 30.2% | 22.2% | 7.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stickle | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 26.4% | 58.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 40.9% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stickle | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 26.4% | 58.3% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 37.6% | 21.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.