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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.66vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+0.70vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.74+3.25vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-1.85vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-1.27vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85-1.29vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.29-1.20vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.74-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.3%1st Place
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2.7Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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6.25Virginia Tech-0.740.0%1st Place
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2.15Hampton University3.020.4%1st Place
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3.73Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.71North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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5.8William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.25Virginia Tech-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 25.8% | 23.6% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 21.5% | 26.8% | 24.1% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stickle | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 25.7% | 58.3% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 37.7% | 27.5% | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.8% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 30.6% | 21.1% | 8.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 35.9% | 23.6% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 15.9% | 37.3% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stickle | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 25.7% | 58.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.