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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+1.10vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+0.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.30vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71-0.32vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.85-0.27vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.29-0.09vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.74-0.78vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.74-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Hampton University3.020.4%1st Place
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2.65Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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3.68Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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5.91William and Mary-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.22Virginia Tech-0.740.0%1st Place
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6.22Virginia Tech-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 39.6% | 28.4% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 22.8% | 25.0% | 27.1% | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 21.1% | 26.2% | 25.1% | 18.3% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 10.3% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 28.2% | 21.8% | 8.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 37.6% | 21.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Castagna | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 13.8% | 39.9% | 35.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stickle | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 26.7% | 55.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stickle | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 26.7% | 55.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.