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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.26+2.90vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.15+0.73vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.23-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.67-0.35vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27-2.94vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-1.74-0.41vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Texas A&M University-0.2615.7%1st Place
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5.73Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.135.8%1st Place
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3.73University of Texas-0.1516.0%1st Place
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3.92Rice University-0.2314.8%1st Place
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4.65University of Texas-0.679.8%1st Place
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3.06Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2723.5%1st Place
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6.59Texas A&M University-1.743.0%1st Place
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4.43Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.5511.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zachary Aronson | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
Maddy Lee | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 23.5% | 23.6% |
Dennis Kostjuhin | 16.0% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
Arthur Unger | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
Kate Lyon | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 8.2% |
Ethan Polsen | 23.5% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
Canaan Cortes | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 50.3% |
Macie Bettis | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.