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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+7.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+6.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+6.13vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+3.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+3.77vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+0.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.43vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-4.84vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-0.88vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-2.71vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96+0.20vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.03vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-8.78vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-4.69vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.67-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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14.2University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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12.97Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.31Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.14McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Scott Houck | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 25.9% |
| John Silvestri | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.