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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+9.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+3.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+3.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+3.74vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.67+7.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.43vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.49-0.77vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-3.69vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.19vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-2.95vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-5.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-2.88vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-2.41vs Predicted
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18Boston College4.12-11.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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5.13Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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15.11McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.11Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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13.11Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Graham Landy | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 38.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 27.6% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.