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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+8.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.78vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.97vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+2.37vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05+2.61vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+0.40vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.73-2.94vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-3.36vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-1.02vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-6.16vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.69vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-2.26vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-2.44vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.67-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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13.74Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.56University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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15.07McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 28.1% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 21.1% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.