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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+7.51vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+8.22vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.13vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.02vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.45vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.18vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+0.92vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+0.88vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-1.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-0.95vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-4.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.89vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-1.35vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.68-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-2.42vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.67-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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5.13Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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13.65Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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15.09McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Graham Landy | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Raul Rios | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 27.8% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.