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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+7.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+5.12vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.03vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+3.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+4.74vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+1.39vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.700.00vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.09vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-2.61vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-0.93vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.68+0.44vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.84vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-4.87vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.67-0.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.24vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.96-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.03Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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15.32McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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14.37University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 8.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 11.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Yann Cudennec | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 40.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.