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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+7.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+6.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.66vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+5.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+3.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.15vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+3.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+1.69vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-1.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.27vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-2.71vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-3.20vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-9.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-2.93vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-2.96vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.67-1.65vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.96-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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4.85Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.35McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Graham Landy | 16.3% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 12.4% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 41.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.