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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+5.99vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+6.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+6.52vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+2.31vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.85vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81+3.14vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-0.26vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-2.22vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.74vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.06vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.94-2.48vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-5.50vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-8.17vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.56-0.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-4.90vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.13-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.14Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.83Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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15.18McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Larson | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 26.4% | 30.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 5.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 20.0% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.