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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.40vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.95+8.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+4.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+3.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-0.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-0.48vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-1.79vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-1.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-2.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.94-1.00vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.81-1.98vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-4.72vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.24vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-3.92vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.88vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.56-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.0Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.02Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.08Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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16.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.07McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| William Bailey | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 53.5% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 27.3% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.